
PALM didn't get the smartphone memo today. Either that, or no one likes their product. What do I know though.
MKM Partners recommends the name into weakness, and has this options idea.
Six‐month at‐the‐money implied volatility in PALM is 75%, down sharply from the 157% peak in late 2008, but still higher than levels that prevailed prior to that spike. Meanwhile, 90%/110% relative skew is somewhat elevated in the 56th percentile relative to the past two years. Given our view that PALM has a solid downside floor and a numberof catalysts that could drive shares sharply higher towards our $20 target price, we highlight May 2010 risk reversals
that entail selling 10 strike puts at $1.70 to buy 12 strike calls for $1.55 and net $0.15 credit. Note that these prices are estimated, based on the pre‐market trading in PALM at $10.80. This position commits to getting long stock at the equivalent of $9.85, a level that we consider to be compelling value, and provides levered participation to the upside through the upcoming catalysts that we anticipate.
Important to note this was written with PALM at $10.80, but it opened around $10.20, so the prices are actually better.
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